1st CFP, 11th Annual Future Business Technology Conference, FUBUTEC-2015, April 27-29, 2015, IST, Lisbon, Portugal

11th Annual Future Business Technology Conference 2015
Lisbon, Portugal
April 27-29, 2015
in conjunction with the annual
Statistical Analysis and Data Mining of Business Processes
Applications using Data Mining
Discrete Event Simulation and Queueing Systems
Choice Modelling methods and Applications
Simulation Applied to Economics
Agents in Business Automation and Economics
Simulation in Business and Economics
Simulation in Business Games
Simulation in OR and Knowledge Management
Emergency Management and Risk Analysis Management
Policy Modelling and Simulation in E-Management, E-Government, E-Commerce and E-Trade
Political and Government Simulation
Simulation Tools for Business Mgmt & Business Intelligence
Geosimulation and Big Data
Simulation and Analysis of Environmental effects of business
Predictive Simulation and Methodology for Futures Research
Sustainable Development
Poster Session
Student Session

Organised by
The European Technology Institute
and Sponsored by
For latest information see:


As simulation and integrated knowledge management are regarded as the driving forces behind some of the world's largest and most successful business organisations the 9th annual FUture BUsiness TEChnology Conference aims to push business technology research onto the next evolutionary step beyond the building blocks of present day business practices such as "Operations Research" or "Business Process Simulation" This conference is meant to integrate them all into an even higher level enterprise wide framework with its new work roles, responsibilities, reward systems methods and tools.

In other words, attaining true knowledge management is about radical and fundamentally new ways to create retain share and leverage knowledge of people and organisations in ways that were simply not possible before.

Next to the integral simulation part, the conferences try to provide a strategic business overview of knowledge management in all its varied applications. In this aspect, the conference focus is on the latest knowledge strategies that business leaders need in order to become a Knowledge Organisation and to withstand the forces of the financial and management markets in the present day precarious society, which constitutes the global environment. Business Intelligence is the Holy Grail.

As Risk Analysis and Intelligence data Analysis also constitute the driving forces in present day military and security operations, the conference also embraces these aspects in the certainty that the cross-fertilization of military thought and business environments can only lead to simulation product improvement

This year will also feature a new track on Geo Simulation and Big Data.


The themes of FUBUTEC'2015 are the following

Statistical Analysis and Data Mining of Business Processes

Advanced statistical techniques for Business: dependency networks, influence diagrams, data envelopment analysis, data mining. Design of Methodological Studies. Machine Learning Techniques with applications in business. Data warehouses, OLAP, meta-data related issues and such. Neural Networks and Support-vector machines in Business. Genetic algorithms in Business. Decision/Classification/Regression Trees and rule-based systems in Business. K-Nearest Neighbours, case-based reasoning and other Methods. Fuzzy-related methodology in Business. Verification and/or validation techniques. Adaptive systems related to machine learning/data mining. Clustering methodologies with applications in business. Time-series methods/applications for Business. Other identification-methods applicable for Business.

Applications using data mining and open source text information mining and analysis.

Data Mining or fuzzy-related Tools. Text-mining related to Business. Web Data mining and information retrieval. Fraud-detection, CRM, SRM, ERM, sensor information retrieval. Datamining in combination with change detection and forensic analysis for information retrieval and assimilation, text accumulation analysis using AI and natural language processing techniques, Metadata mining.

Choice Modelling-Methods and Applications

Choice modelling attempts to model the decision process of an individual or segment in a particular context. Choice modelling may be used to estimate non-market environmental benefits and costs.
Choice modelling comprises a number of specific techniques that contribute to its power. Some or all of these may be used in the construction of a Choice Model. Orthogonality; Experimental design; Stated preference; Preferences as choice trade-offs; Sampling and block allocation and Model Generation.
Choice modelling is particularly useful for:
- Predicting uptake and refining New Product Development
- Estimating the implied willingness to pay (WTP) for goods and services
- Product or service viability testing
- Variations of product attributes
- Understanding brand value and preference
- Demand estimates and optimum pricing
- Brand value

Simulation applied to Economics

Adaptive markets complex simulation based on cell biology, neuroeconomics and behavioural economics. Analytic Methods for Financial and Economic Protection. Macroeconomic models estimation and model development. Economic Analysis and Econometrics simulation using Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, State-space Methods, Bayesian estimation and Time Series analysis, Simulation and optimisation, Experimental design of simulation studies, Queuing networks and models, Embedded Heuristics in simulation and Rule-based optimization and simulation, Symbolic Regression Techniques, Financial Times Series Prediction, Weighted and Filtered Historical Simulation, Predictive Analytics in banking.

Agents in Business Automation and Economics

Knowledge Management, Intelligent Business Agents, Human and Agent Interaction, Virtual-Agent Based Marketplaces, Automated Shopping and Trading Agents, Agents and E-Commerce, Legal Aspects of agents in e-commerce, performance measurement of e-commerce agents, rational information agents and electronic commerce, Agent-Based Trade and Mediating Services; Virtual Trading Institutions

Agent-Based Interface for Business Automation. Agent-Based Data Retrieval for Business Automation. Agent-Based Automatic Demand/Supply Formation for Business Automation. Agent-Based Demand/Supply Matching for Business Automation. Agent-Based Transaction Formation for Business Automation. Agent-Based Transaction Implementation for Business Automation. Agent-Based Logistics and Workflow Management for Business Automation Modeling. System Design and Validation for Agent-Based Business Automation.

Applications; Personal Agents, Virtual Agent-Based Office, E-Management and E-Control with Agents, E-Trade and E-Marketplace with Agents, E-Payment and E-Banking with Agents, Financial and Investment Agent-Based Applications, Agent-Based Supply Chain and B2B Systems, Agents for Games on the Internet, Wireless Agent-Based Systems, Semantic Web and Agents, Large Scale E-Business: Agent Based Systems

Agent Methodology; Agent Learning, Agent Negotiation, Agent Trusts and Trust Based Action, Agent Cooperation Competition, AI Techniques: Neural Networks, Agent Coordination for Cooperative Systems, Agent Communication/Interaction, Agent Security and, Authentication, Agent Visualization, Agent and Multi-Agent Architecture, Distributed and Real-Time Techniques

Simulation in Business and Economics

Business process engineering and simulation, Simulation in customer-oriented service processes, Decision support systems, Simulation in Finance and Risk Management, Simulation in workflow management, Process mapping and simulation, Simulation of production processes and equipment, Business Information Modeling Methods and Methodologies, UML and UP in Business Modelling, UML and UP for Enterprise Modeling.

Simulation in Business Games

Enhancing strategic thinking and decision making capabilities using simulation games; Simulating Key Management and Strategic Issues; Customized Business Simulation Applications, Systems Thinking and System Dynamics; Visualizing, analyzing and solving challenges and opportunities; Using games to achieve strategic objectives; Simulation with "man in the loop"; Virtual Reality systems; Realistic presentation of simulation results; Simulation for training and education; Web-based simulation; Multi-site Group simulation; Simulation of Emergency procedures (Disaster gaming)

Simulation in OR and Knowledge Management

The skill of the management scientist lies in the ability to balance the reality of the developed model with the effort that it will take to find an answer to the problem. Many decision support systems (DSS) use representational models to predict the impact of possible decisions. There are two major types of model: simulation and analytical. A more subjective approach to decision-making is needed. While information and some form of data processing are essential, the decision-maker should adopt a less structured approach to the way the data is used. The development of interactive software has given more flexibility to the way in which the decision-maker uses the data and the applied models. This is the essence of decision support systems. Simulation models as used in business, policy, conflict situations, and and crisis management through, in almost all cases, dynamic, discrete-event, and stochastic models. According to the application area, the researcher or designer should model the real-world situation very carefully. An incorrect, incomplete, or inconsistent model could result in a bad decision being made by the decision-maker possibly resulting in economic loss, physical damage or injury. The simulation models and their applications should take into account uncertainty and thus contain procedures for risk analysis. We are therefore interested in research presentations on the science of designing and developing simulation models to solve decisional problems in policy, management, conflict situations, and anti-disaster actions. In particular (but not exclusively), we welcome presentations and reports in the following areas:

  • new developments and sound practice in the use of interactive simulation in building decision support systems for conflict situations (including simulation games)
  • practice in the use of hybrid systems (artificial intelligence in simulation environments) as decision support in political, conflict and anti-disaster problems;
  • simulation based logistics decision support systems;
  • model based simulation in risk analysis for decision makers
  • application of simulation based pattern recognition in complex adaptive systems to identify and classify a situation to solve decision problems
  • Project Management
  • Project Intelligence
  • From Modelling to Management
  • Consumer Demand Behaviour
  • Modelling Future Demand
  • Data Modelling Tools
  • Sustainable Development Simulation
  • Business Process: Integration, Workflow and Process Management
  • Representation of Processes to Business Management
  • Achieving Flexibility
  • Encapsulating Processes the influence of the OO Revolution
  • From Business Model to Operational Performance Support
  • Models with the end users in mind
  • Best practice Processes
  • Business Process Modelling including information architecture and persuasive Web design
  • Creating and sharing knowledge

Emergency Management and Risk Analysis Management

This part of the conference concerns itself more with the more "extreme" aspects of management, extreme managerial situations or management problem solving using numerical modelling, GIS, and information and Web 2.0 technologies.

This track covers

  • Risk identification, analysis and assessment
  • Risk assessment and horizon scanning
  • Risk sensoring
  • Risk scenario modelling, procedures formulation and planning: (Prevention, Preparedness, Mitigation, Response, Recovery)
  • Crisis management - extreme events or total disaster
  • Environment (forest fires, marine risk - tanker disaster, flood, earthquakes, drought, volcanic eruptions
  • Industrial (Hazards, Accidents (nuclear meltdown), Technology (asbestos)
  • Terrorist (Extreme events (September 11), Civil Protection, Conflicts risk management - security (Petersberg tasks - City Flood Vulnerability Index)
  • Project risk management (Investment decisions, Research projects risk management, Extremely risky projects risk management (space exploration), Software development risk management.
  • Enterprise risk management (Decision-making, Venture capital)
  • Financial risk management (Stocks, Portfolio selection, Options, Credit Risk Assessment, Insurance sector)
  • Crisis management (Extreme events, Total disaster)
  • Financial Modelling and simulation (Managing Intelligence Capital, Linking computer based financial models while limiting herd behavior, Black-Scholes Model, Real Options, Wiener process, Risk measures )
  • Business Process Reengineering (BPR)
  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)
  • Fault Tree Analysis (Static and Dynamic FTA)
  • Event Tree Analysis (ETA)
  • HAZIP (Hazard identification) tools (HAZOP (Hazard and Operability Study), Judgement, FMEA (Failure Modes and Effects Analysis), SWIFT (Structured What-IF Checklist Technique)
  • Human Error Analysis (HEA)

Policy Modelling and Simulation in E-Management, E-Government, E-Commerce and E-Trade

e-learning/ education management, knowledge management, knowledge economy, multimedia in manufacturing companies, maintenance of technical facilities and maintenance service management UML applications in Risk Management Modelling. E-democracy, electronic local government, the digital divide, e-governors, citizen centric services, GovMl Description Language, Government Portals, Shared contact centres, Costs and Risks, Customer relationship management, Models for automatic evaluation of public sector sites, the role of standards, knowledge management, community portal dynamics, diversity, creativity, Innovation and Knowledge Management in the Service Sector, Integrated Electronic Records, from e-government to e-regulation.
Knowledge Management and Dynamic Portals, Learning Networks: Policy making through portals, Portals with Purpose Case Studies, e-government portal design and Evolution, Risk Based Testing of E-government Portals

Political and Government Simulation

This track covers but is not limited to: Geopolitical Simulation, Domestic Policy Simulation, Political Campaign Simulation, Conflict Simulation, Crisis Simulation.

Simulation Tools for Business Management and Business Intelligence Simulation

Management and Business simulation using PDSim, TreeAge Pro, StatFit, MyStrategy, Extend OR, Decision Pro, Decision Script, Crystal Ball, Analytica, AgenaRisk, @Risk, CBML, Cognos OlAP Datacubes in order to simulate a flexible system for setting up, tracking and communicating company performance against a set of management-defined Key Measurables within the Dashboard Module, Activity Based Intelligence.

Geosimulation and Big Data

This theme covers topics such as:

  • Using Big Data to inform individual-based models of geographical systems
  • Hybrid modeling approaches (e.g. utilizing Spatial Interaction, Microsimulation, etc.)
  • Participatory behavioural modeling and simulation
  • Translating Big Data into agent rules while handling scale and space issues
  • Improving and Validating, verifying and calibrating agent-based models (ABM) and CA Models with Big Data
  • Visualization of agent-based models (along with their outputs)
  • Ways of representing behavior within models of geographical systems
  • Applications of geosimulation

Simulation and Analysis of Environmental effects of business

This theme covers topics such as:

  • Simulation of Costs and Effects of Business Policies for the Environment
  • Business Simulation for Environmental Feedback Analysis
  • Green Metrics for Business Simulation
  • Simulation of Customer Synchronous Reaction to Business Policies
  • Simulation of Social Feedback into Business Activity

Predictive Simulation and Methodology for Futures Research

This track covers Futures Research, Methodology Evaluation, Environmental Scanning, The Delphi Method, Real-Time Delphi, The Futures Wheel and Polygoni,Trend Impact Analysis, Cross-Impact Analysis, Wild Cards Modelling, Structural Analysis, Systems Perspectives, Decision Modeling, Substitution Analysis, Statistical Modeling, Technology Sequence, Morphological Analysis, Relevance Trees, Scenarios and Interactive Scenarios (modelling software), Robust Decision making, Participatory Methods, Simulation and Games, Genius Forecasting and Intuition, Visioning for Strategic Planning, Normative Forecasting, TRIZ, S&T Road Mapping, Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Global Event Mining (using f.ex.Culturomics 2.0), Agent Modeling (demo software), Prediction Markets, Forecasting By Artificial Neural Networks, SOFI Software Systems, Multiple Perspective Concept, Toolboxes for Scenario Planning, Heuristics Modeling, Causal Layered Analysis, Linking Methods, Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers.


The conference organization is open to suggestions on possible workshops featuring software packages, new hardware or methods used in business development.

If you want to propose a specific simulation workshop please contact;
philippe.geril@eurosis.org before DECEMBER 15TH

Ecological sustainable development and Innovative technologies for a bio-based economy

This workshop has as theme, the application of intelligent sensing, control, optimisation and modelling techniques for sustainability, renewable energy and sustainability-related topics.
The workshop topics cover but are not limited to:

Biobased economy

Green genetics, biopolymers, biodiesel, bio-alcohol, bio-refining, white biotechnology, catchbio, paper and agrofibers, seaweed production, Ethanol from pulp and maize, jatropha Curcas, Bioliq, Taylor made fuels: isosorbides and amber acids. Sequestration of carbon monoxide, Carbon capture and storage.

High efficiency power storage systems: battery systems; reversible fuel cells; flywheel systems; Kinetic energy use; super-capacitors.

Control and optimisation of renewable energy systems: sensors and instrumentation technology, virtual sensors; smart monitoring and control using intelligent systems; high-efficiency switching systems; highly-efficient voltage conversion systems; novel high efficiency distribution systems and low voltage busses.

Energy modelling schemes: life cycle analysis methodologies; tools and life cycle analysis; triple-bottom-line analysis.

Renewable energy technologies

Power Grids

On-site, off-grid, grid-supplemented generation systems; combined heat and power (CHP) and micro-CHP systems

Power Plants

Nuclear energy from fission and fusion, Geothermal power plants, biomass fuel, low emission coal plants, Stirling cycle engines, bio-fuelled diesel generators.

Solar Energy

Solar power, Solar cells, Photovoltaic solar energy, Solar thermal power stations, Solar power generators household energy systems, New solar cell production (from inkjets f.ex.), Affordable photovoltaic solar energy.

Wave Energy

Tidal wave energy stimulation, Hydropowerwave/tidal.

Wind Energy and materials

Micro-wind turbines, horizontal and vertical axis aero-generators, Wind Turbines, Brushless double fed generators for windmill parks, Superglass for windmill ball bearings.
Specifically also looking at:

  • Aerodynamic performance modelling on single blade
  • Power curves and Torque investigations for complete turbines
  • Turbulence wake modelling and interference on a wind farm
  • Wind and natural relief effects on turbines
  • Fluid Structure Interaction on a single blade
  • Offshore wave interaction on turbine masts
  • Turbine spacing and location optimization
  • Impact analysis on turbine masts and blades, (such as bird strikes)
  • Harmonic response and vibrations
  • Electromagnetic analysis and optimisation
  • Fatigue


Sustainable buildings

The application of intelligent sensing, control, optimisation and modelling techniques the technology of sustainable buildings. Applications to building services: heating and ventilating control systems for reduced energy use; building management systems; low energy building technology; low energy lighting systems; high-output light LED lighting systems; passive solar heating systems. F.ex.Buildings as Carbon gas receptors, Thermo electric materials for improved energy efficiency and Solar warmth as cooling agent.

GreenTraffic/Car Technology

Power Sources

Green car technology using hydrogen fuel cells, Renewable fuels and biofuels, Fluid biogas, Hybrid vehicles, Plug-in-hybrids, Battery powered cars (lithium ion batteries with manganese components). Vehicles with Electric motors, inverters, and Air compressor motors

High Tech Materials

Ultralight and advanced high-strength steel, Carbon fiber and aluminum, Magnesium, Polycarbonate resin, Polymer composites

Green Ship Technology

Power Sources

Solar sailing, using sun and wind power (Skysails), windmill turbine boats, LNG, hybrid power plants.

Ship design

Dolphin shaped fin-keels, SharkSkin Coatings, Air Bubble Vents, Stern Flaps.

Green Plane Technology

Hydrogen Planes (Hy-Bird), Biofuel Planes, Electric Planes


Tutorials can be proposed in the following three categories:
T1- Introductory tutorials
T2- State of the Art Tutorials
T3- Software and Modelware Tutorials
Tutorial proposals should be emailed to Philippe.Geril@eurosis.org before DECEMBER 15.


The poster session only features work in progress. Next to the actual poster presentation, these submissions also feature as short papers in the Proceedings.


This session is for students who want to present their work in
progress or part of their doctoral thesis as a paper. Student papers
are denoted by the fact that only the name of the student appears on
the paper as an author. They are published as short papers in the


For demonstrations or video sessions, please contact EUROSIS.
Special session will be set up for vendor presentations in co-
ordination with the scientific program. User Group meetings for
simulation languages and tools can be organised the day before the
conference. If you would like to arrange a meeting, please contact
the Conference Chairs. We will be happy to provide a meeting room
and other necessary equipment.
Partners for projects session(s) will be organised by EUROSIS to
give potential project teams or individuals the opportunity to
present their research in order to link up with fellow researchers
for future research projects. Those wishing to participate in this
session need to send a proposal to EUROSIS.
A EUROSIS TC Meeting and an EU Project update meeting


A special exhibition is envisaged during the conference focused on
business applications. For more information please contact EUROSIS for
further details. Email: Philippe.Geril@eurosis.org


Send all submissions in an ELECTRONIC FORM ONLY in (zipped)
Microsoft Word format, or PDF format (PREFERRED FORMAT)indicating the
designated track and type of submission (full paper or an extended
abstract) to the EUROSIS (Philippe.Geril@eurosis.org).
Please provide your name, affiliation, full mailing address,
telephone / fax number and Email address on all submissions as well.
For submissions please put in the subject of your Email the
following indications: FUBUTEC'2015 and designated track or USE THE

Only original papers, which have not been published elsewhere, will
be accepted for publication

Journal Publication

Only accepted and presented extended papers are eligible for journal publication in any of the journals listed here.

Quality Control

In order to ensure the quality of the proceedings, Thomson-Reuters ISI and IET will receive the listing of the actually presented papers, next to the copies of the Proceedings.

EUROSIS Proceedings are ISI-Thomson Reuters and IET referenced.


Registration Fees
EUROSIS members
Other Participants
Pre-registration before April 1, 2015 € 505 € 505 € 560
Registration after April 1, 2015 Pre-registration required € 560 € 605


Students who are authors, pay a registration of € 380. To qualify as a student author you need to send in together with your paper a copy of your student card. Student papers are only accepted as student papers if only the name of the student appears as author of the paper or in the case of multiple authors, all authors should be students. EUROSIS should be informed before the final paper is submitted.

Registration Fees
Student Author
EUROSIS Student members
Other Student Participants
Pre-registration before April 1, 2015 € 380 € 380 € 425
Registration after April 1, 2015 Pre-registration required € 425 € 450

The full registration fee includes one copy of the Conference
Proceedings, coffee and tea during the breaks, all lunches,
a conference dinner and all conference materials

FULL PAPER (5-8 pages including abstract, conclusions, diagrams, references)
During review, the submitted full papers can be accepted as a regular 5 page paper. If excellent, full papers can be accepted by the program committee as an extended (8-page) paper. Each submission will be reviewed by at least three members of the FUBUTEC'2015 International Program Committee.

EXTENDED ABSTRACT (at least five pages)
Participants may also submit a 5 page extended abstract for a regular (5 pages) or short (3 pages) paper or poster, which will be reviewed by the International Program Committee. All accepted papers will be published in the FUBUTEC'2015 Conference Proceedings.

SHORT ABSTRACT (at least three to four pages)
Participants may also submit a 3 page abstract for a short paper or poster, which will be reviewed by the International Program Committee. All accepted papers will be published in the FUBUTEC'2015 Conference Proceedings.


Philippe Geril
European Simulation Office
Greenbridge Science Park
Ghent University - Ostend Campus
Wetenschapspark 1
Plassendale 1
B-8400 Ostend Belgium
Tel: OO32.59.255330
Fax: oo32.59.255339
Email: philippe.geril@eurosis.org


The 2015 FUBUTEC Conference Committee will select the Outstanding Paper of the Conference. The author of this paper will be awarded the a Best Paper Award, a free registration for a EUROSIS conference which is valid for two years. Only papers SUBMITTED AS FULL papers and accepted as EXTENDED papers will be eligible for the Outstanding Paper Award.


The official conference language for all papers and presentations is


The conference will be held at IST in Lisbon, Portugal


Authors provide camera-ready manuscript: APRIL 1ST, 2015

First Name:
Occupation and/or Title:
Mailing Address
Zip code: City: Country.
Telephone: Fax:
Yes, I intend to attend the FUBUTEC'2015:
[ ] Presenting a paper, by submitting a full paper
[ ] Presenting a short paper (by submitting an extended abstract)
[ ] Participating in the industrial program
[ ] Organizing a vendor session
[ ] Proposing a panel discussion (please mention names of
[ ] Contributing to the exhibition
[ ] Without presenting a paper
The provisional title of my paper / exhibited tool is:
With the following highlights:
The paper belongs to the category (please tick only one):
[ ] Statistical Analysis and Data Mining of Business Processes
[ ] Applications using Data Mining
[ ] Discrete Event Simulation and Queueing Systems
[ ] Choice Modelling methods and Applications
[ ] Simulation Applied to Economics
[ ] Agents in Business Automation and Economics
[ ] Simulation in Business and Economics
[ ] Simulation in Business Games
[ ] Simulation in OR and Knowledge Management
[ ] Emergency Management and Risk Analysis Management
[ ] Policy Modelling and Simulation in E-Management, E-Government, E-Commerce and E-Trade
[ ] Political and Government Simulation
[ ] Simulation Tools for Business Mgmt & Business Intelligence
[ ] Geosimulation and Big Data
[ ] Simulation and Analysis of Environmental effects of business
[ ] Predictive Simulation and Methodology for Futures Research
[ ] Sustainable Development
[ ] Poster Session
[ ] Student Session
[ ] Tutorials
[ ] Exhibition
Other colleague(s) interested in the topics of the conference
If you would like to receive more information about EUROSIS and its
activities, please tick the following box:
[ ] YES, I would like to know more about EUROSIS
[ ] NO, please remove me from your database.
Please send or fax this card immediately to:
Philippe Geril, EUROSIS-ETI
Greenbridge Science Park
Ghent University - Ostend Campus
Wetenschapspark 1
Plassendale 1
B-8400 Ostend Belgium
Tel: OO32.59.255330
Fax: OO32.59.255339


"The European Multidisciplinary Society for Modelling and Simulation Technology"

Philippe Geril, EUROSIS-ETI
Greenbridge Science Park
Ghent University - Ostend Campus
Wetenschapspark 1
Plassendale 1
B-8400 Ostend Belgium
Tel: OO32.59.255330
Fax: OO32.59.255339

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